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October 14, 2026
2 min read
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Gold Miners GDX Tumbled 4.40%

Wednesday brought a defensive rotation. Duration and defensive equities led.

Defensive sectors led

Movers

Outperformers: Healthcare XLV +2.53% (3M: +7.9%), Consumer Staples XLP +2.22% (3M: +1.0%)

Underperformers: Copper Miners COPX -4.24% (3M: +8.2%), South Korea EWY -4.04% (3M: -2.2%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Brazil EWZ +20.6%, Energy XLE +19.3%, Taiwan EWT +10.8%

Weak: S&P SmallCap Growth SLYG -8.2%, Real Estate XLRE -8.0%, Russell 2000 IWM -8.0%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 equity ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 14 Oct 2026; ending at COPX Copper Miners +8.2%, XLV Healthcare +7.9%, XLP Consumer Staples +1.0%, EWY South Korea -2.2%

Duration rallied, credit lagged

Movers

Outperformers: Long Treasuries TLT +0.66% (3M: -5.2%), TIPS TIP +0.25% (3M: -2.2%)

Underperformers: Preferred Stock PFF -1.23% (3M: -3.3%), High Yield Bonds JNK -0.44% (3M: -2.4%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Short TIPS VTIP -0.4%, Short Corporate VCSH -0.7%, Global Bonds BNDX -1.2%

Weak: Long Treasuries TLT -5.2%, Muni Bonds MUB -3.9%, Preferred Stock PFF -3.3%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 fixed income ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 14 Oct 2026; ending at TIP TIPS -2.2%, JNK High Yield Bonds -2.4%, PFF Preferred Stock -3.3%, TLT Long Treasuries -5.2%

Defensive tilt emerged, miners and semis lagged

Movers

Outperformers: Biotechnology IBB +1.61% (3M: +7.3%), Min Volatility USMV -0.02% (3M: +3.9%)

Underperformers: Gold Miners GDX -4.40% (3M: +16.8%), Semiconductors SMH -3.98% (3M: -0.7%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Ethereum Trust ETHA +29.5%, Bitcoin Trust IBIT +27.1%, Gold Miners GDX +16.8%

Weak: Clean Energy ICLN -9.3%, Global REITs REET -9.2%, Real Estate VNQ -8.9%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 specialty ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 14 Oct 2026; ending at GDX Gold Miners +16.8%, IBB Biotechnology +7.3%, USMV Min Volatility +3.9%, SMH Semiconductors -0.7%

Technical Signals

AssetSetupInstrumentsRead
EquityExhaustion RiskEnergy XLE3M leaders, flashing overbought
Volatility CompressionGlobal Min Vol ACWV, Copper Miners COPX, Emg. Markets EEM
OverboughtEnergy XLE
OversoldRussell 2000 IWM
Fixed IncomeCounter-trend RallyLong Treasuries TLTtop mover today +0.66%, 3M laggard -5.2%
Volatility ExpansionGlobal Bonds BNDX, High Yield HYG, High Yield Bonds JNK
OversoldHigh Yield HYG
SpecialtyTrend-break RiskGold Miners GDXtop decliner today -4.40%, 3M leader +16.8%
Reversal SetupClean Energy ICLNvol compression building in 3M underperformers
Volatility CompressionGold Miners GDX, Gold GLD, Clean Energy ICLN
Volatility ExpansionBiotechnology IBB

Exhaustion Risk: in our top three over three months, with its RSI above 70.
Counter-trend Rally: one of the day's two strongest, and in our bottom three over three months.
Trend-break Risk: one of the day's two weakest, and in our top three over three months.
Reversal Setup: in our bottom three over three months, with volatility more than 1 standard deviation below its own norm.

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Romain Gandon
CEO, Quantlake

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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