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October 12, 2026
2 min read
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South Korea EWY Sank 4.02%

Monday marked a growth unwind. South Korea EWY and technology-linked exposures weakened and set the tone.

Old-economy sectors led, tech lagged

Movers

Leaders: Energy XLE +1.43% (3M: +16.6%), Consumer Staples XLP +1.17% (3M: +1.9%)

Laggards: South Korea EWY -4.02% (3M: -3.9%), Technology XLK -1.22% (3M: +7.1%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Brazil EWZ +20.8%, Energy XLE +16.6%, Taiwan EWT +12.2%

Weak: Utilities XLU -8.2%, S&P SmallCap Growth SLYG -6.1%, Industrials XLI -6.0%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 equity ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 12 Oct 2026; ending at XLE Energy +16.6%, XLK Technology +7.1%, XLP Consumer Staples +1.9%, EWY South Korea -3.9%

Counter-trend bounce in corporate credit

Movers

Leaders: Investment Grade Credit LQD +0.17% (3M: -3.1%), Corporate Credit VCIT +0.11% (3M: -2.7%)

Laggards: Preferred Stock PFF -0.65% (3M: -2.9%), EM Sovereign Bonds EMB -0.10% (3M: -3.4%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Short TIPS VTIP -0.4%, Short Corporate VCSH -0.4%, Global Bonds BNDX -1.3%

Weak: Long Treasuries TLT -6.1%, Muni Bonds MUB -4.6%, 7-10yr Treasuries IEF -3.4%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 fixed income ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 12 Oct 2026; ending at VCIT Corporate Credit -2.7%, PFF Preferred Stock -2.9%, LQD Investment Grade Credit -3.1%, EMB EM Sovereign Bonds -3.4%

Alternative assets led, growth proxies lagged

Movers

Leaders: Ethereum Trust ETHA +1.71% (3M: +33.9%), Real Estate VNQ +0.78% (3M: -5.6%)

Laggards: Semiconductors SMH -2.05% (3M: -1.6%), Momentum Factor MTUM -1.53% (3M: -1.3%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Ethereum Trust ETHA +33.9%, Bitcoin Trust IBIT +28.1%, Gold Miners GDX +18.2%

Weak: Clean Energy ICLN -10.2%, Global REITs REET -6.7%, Infrastructure PAVE -5.9%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 specialty ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 12 Oct 2026; ending at ETHA Ethereum Trust +33.9%, MTUM Momentum Factor -1.3%, SMH Semiconductors -1.6%, VNQ Real Estate -5.6%

Technical Signals

AssetSetupInstrumentsRead
EquityExhaustion RiskBrazil EWZ3M leaders, flashing overbought
Volatility CompressionGlobal Min Vol ACWV, Copper Miners COPX, South Korea EWY
OverboughtBrazil EWZ
OversoldIntl High Dividend IDV
Fixed IncomeVolatility ExpansionAggregate Bonds AGG, Global Bonds BNDX, EM Sovereign Bonds EMB
SpecialtyReversal SetupClean Energy ICLNvol compression building in 3M underperformers
Volatility CompressionGold Miners GDX, Gold GLD, Clean Energy ICLN
Volatility ExpansionBiotechnology IBB
OverboughtLong/Short Equity FTLS

Exhaustion Risk: in our top three over three months, with its RSI above 70.
Reversal Setup: in our bottom three over three months, with volatility more than 1 standard deviation below its own norm.

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Romain Gandon
CEO, Quantlake

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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