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October 13, 2026
2 min read
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South Korea EWY Sank 2.09%

Tuesday tilted toward a defensive rotation. Duration outperformed against a 3M downtrend.

Country ETFs diverged, energy led

Movers

Leaders: India INDA +1.90% (3M: -3.0%), Energy XLE +1.80% (3M: +19.6%)

Laggards: South Korea EWY -2.09% (3M: -3.0%), Brazil EWZ -1.54% (3M: +19.5%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Energy XLE +19.6%, Brazil EWZ +19.5%, Taiwan EWT +10.7%

Weak: S&P SmallCap Growth SLYG -6.8%, Utilities XLU -6.7%, Russell 2000 IWM -6.2%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 equity ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 13 Oct 2026; ending at XLE Energy +19.6%, EWZ Brazil +19.5%, EWY South Korea -3.0%, INDA India -3.0%

Duration rallied, high yield lagged

Movers

Leaders: Muni Bonds MUB +0.60% (3M: -3.9%), Long Treasuries TLT +0.41% (3M: -5.9%)

Laggards: High Yield Bonds JNK -0.29% (3M: -1.9%), High Yield HYG -0.26% (3M: -2.0%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Short TIPS VTIP -0.5%, Short Corporate VCSH -0.7%, Global Bonds BNDX -1.4%

Weak: Long Treasuries TLT -5.9%, Muni Bonds MUB -3.9%, 7-10yr Treasuries IEF -3.5%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 fixed income ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 13 Oct 2026; ending at JNK High Yield Bonds -1.9%, HYG High Yield -2.0%, MUB Muni Bonds -3.9%, TLT Long Treasuries -5.9%

Clean energy rose, biotech and miners lagged

Movers

Leaders: Bitcoin Trust IBIT +0.58% (3M: +28.0%), Clean Energy ICLN +0.35% (3M: -10.0%)

Laggards: Biotechnology IBB -2.08% (3M: +5.3%), Gold Miners GDX -1.46% (3M: +17.9%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Ethereum Trust ETHA +30.1%, Bitcoin Trust IBIT +28.0%, Gold Miners GDX +17.9%

Weak: Clean Energy ICLN -10.0%, Global REITs REET -6.8%, Real Estate VNQ -6.1%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 specialty ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 13 Oct 2026; ending at IBIT Bitcoin Trust +28.0%, GDX Gold Miners +17.9%, IBB Biotechnology +5.3%, ICLN Clean Energy -10.0%

Technical Signals

AssetSetupInstrumentsRead
EquityTrend-break RiskBrazil EWZ2nd-weakest today -1.54%, 3M leader +19.5%
Exhaustion RiskEnergy XLE and Brazil EWZ3M leaders, flashing overbought
Volatility CompressionGlobal Min Vol ACWV, Copper Miners COPX, South Korea EWY
OverboughtBrazil EWZ, Energy XLE
Fixed IncomeCounter-trend RallyMuni Bonds MUB and Long Treasuries TLTtoday's leaders, 3M laggards
Volatility ExpansionAggregate Bonds AGG, Global Bonds BNDX, EM Sovereign Bonds EMB
SpecialtyCounter-trend RallyClean Energy ICLN2nd-strongest today +0.35%, 3M laggard -10.0%
Trend-break RiskGold Miners GDX2nd-weakest today -1.46%, 3M leader +17.9%
Reversal SetupClean Energy ICLNvol compression building in 3M underperformers
Volatility CompressionGold Miners GDX, Gold GLD, Clean Energy ICLN
OverboughtLong/Short Equity FTLS

Trend-break Risk: one of the day's two weakest, and in our top three over three months.
Exhaustion Risk: in our top three over three months, with its RSI above 70.
Counter-trend Rally: one of the day's two strongest, and in our bottom three over three months.
Reversal Setup: in our bottom three over three months, with volatility more than 1 standard deviation below its own norm.

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Romain Gandon
CEO, Quantlake

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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