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October 1, 2026
2 min read
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Biotechnology IBB Sank 2.17%

Thursday registered an inflation-hedge bid. Energy led, and leadership concentrated in real-asset and digital-asset expressions.

Cyclicals diverged, energy led and miners lagged

Movers

Leaders: Energy XLE +1.95% (3M: +18.5%), South Korea EWY +1.82% (3M: +3.3%)

Laggards: Intl High Dividend IDV -1.66% (3M: +0.4%), Copper Miners COPX -1.53% (3M: +8.8%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Energy XLE +18.5%, Technology XLK +9.7%, US Technology IYW +9.6%

Weak: Utilities XLU -12.6%, S&P SmallCap Growth SLYG -8.2%, Real Estate XLRE -8.2%

[Web Equity Chart]

Safer duration rallied, credit lagged

Movers

Leaders: Int. Treasuries VGIT +0.30% (3M: -2.7%), TIPS TIP +0.26% (3M: -3.0%)

Laggards: EM Sovereign Bonds EMB -0.64% (3M: -5.3%), High Yield Bonds JNK -0.49% (3M: -2.8%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Short TIPS VTIP -0.5%, Short Corporate VCSH -1.0%, Global Bonds BNDX -2.3%

Weak: Long Treasuries TLT -8.4%, EM Sovereign Bonds EMB -5.3%, Investment Grade Credit LQD -5.3%

[Web Fixed Income Chart]

High-beta niches led, miners and biotech lagged

Movers

Leaders: Semiconductors SMH +1.45% (3M: +4.3%), Bitcoin Trust IBIT +1.31% (3M: +37.5%)

Laggards: Biotechnology IBB -2.17% (3M: +5.2%), Gold Miners GDX -1.21% (3M: +10.6%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Ethereum Trust ETHA +58.4%, Bitcoin Trust IBIT +37.5%, Gold Miners GDX +10.6%

Weak: Clean Energy ICLN -14.4%, Real Estate VNQ -8.2%, Global REITs REET -7.8%

[Web Specialty Chart]

Technical Signals

AssetSetupInstrumentsRead
EquityVolatility CompressionGlobal Min Vol ACWV, Copper Miners COPX, Emg. Markets EEM
OversoldSelect Dividend DVY, Germany EWG, United Kingdom EWU
Fixed IncomeVolatility ExpansionAggregate Bonds AGG, Global Bonds BNDX, EM Sovereign Bonds EMB
OversoldAggregate Bonds AGG, EM Sovereign Bonds EMB, High Yield HYG
SpecialtyTrend-break RiskGold Miners GDX2nd-weakest today -1.21%, 3M leader +10.6%
Reversal SetupClean Energy ICLNvol compression building in 3M underperformers
Volatility CompressionGold Miners GDX, Clean Energy ICLN, Covered Calls Nasdaq JEPQ
Volatility ExpansionManaged Futures DBMF
OversoldGlobal REITs REET, Real Estate VNQ

Trend-break Risk: one of the day's two weakest, and in our top three over three months.
Reversal Setup: in our bottom three over three months, with volatility more than 1 standard deviation below its own norm.

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Romain Gandon
CEO, Quantlake

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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