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October 16, 2026
2 min read
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South Korea EWY Sank 3.70%

Friday favored hard-asset leadership. Growth-sensitive equities weakened, and leadership concentrated in energy and gold miners.

Energy and utilities led, Korea weakness deepened

Movers

Outperformers: Energy XLE +2.52% (3M: +18.5%), Utilities XLU +1.34% (3M: -5.4%)

Underperformers: South Korea EWY -3.70% (3M: -7.6%), Technology XLK -3.02% (3M: +4.5%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Energy XLE +18.5%, Brazil EWZ +17.9%, Healthcare XLV +11.4%

Weak: South Korea EWY -7.6%, Russell 2000 IWM -7.2%, S&P SmallCap Growth SLYG -7.2%

Line chart: 3-month performance of the day's leaders and laggards among our equity ETFs, to 16 Oct 2026

Inflation-linked debt led, credit proxies lagged

Movers

Outperformers: TIPS TIP +0.24% (3M: -1.6%), Short TIPS VTIP +0.21% (3M: -0.1%)

Underperformers: Preferred Stock PFF -1.06% (3M: -3.4%), High Yield Bonds JNK -0.40% (3M: -2.2%)

3M Leaderboard (within FI scale)

Strong: Short TIPS VTIP -0.1%, Short Corporate VCSH -0.3%, Global Bonds BNDX -0.7%

Weak: Long Treasuries TLT -3.4%, Preferred Stock PFF -3.4%, Muni Bonds MUB -3.0%

Line chart: 3-month performance of the day's leaders and laggards among our fixed income ETFs, to 16 Oct 2026

Real-asset names led, momentum lagged

Movers

Outperformers: Gold Miners GDX +0.79% (3M: +24.0%), Real Estate VNQ +0.35% (3M: -7.0%)

Underperformers: Semiconductors SMH -3.41% (3M: -3.4%), Momentum Factor MTUM -2.78% (3M: -2.9%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Ethereum Trust ETHA +26.8%, Bitcoin Trust IBIT +25.1%, Gold Miners GDX +24.0%

Weak: Clean Energy ICLN -10.0%, Global REITs REET -8.3%, Real Estate VNQ -7.0%

Line chart: 3-month performance of the day's leaders and laggards among our specialty ETFs, to 16 Oct 2026

Technical Signals

AssetSetupInstrumentsRead
EquityReversal SetupSouth Korea EWYvol compression building in 3M underperformers
Volatility CompressionGlobal Min Vol ACWV, South Korea EWY, Dividend Quality SCHD
OverboughtConsumer Staples XLP
OversoldSouth Korea EWY
Fixed IncomeVolatility ExpansionGlobal Bonds BNDX, High Yield HYG, High Yield Bonds JNK
SpecialtyCounter-trend RallyReal Estate VNQ2nd-strongest today +0.35%, 3M laggard -7.0%
Reversal SetupClean Energy ICLNvol compression building in 3M underperformers
Volatility CompressionGold Miners GDX, Gold GLD, Clean Energy ICLN
Volatility ExpansionManaged Futures DBMF, Biotechnology IBB
OversoldMomentum Factor MTUM

Reversal Setup: in our bottom three over three months, with volatility more than 1 standard deviation below its own norm.
Counter-trend Rally: one of the day's two strongest, and in our bottom three over three months.

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Romain Gandon
CEO, Quantlake

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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