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October 9, 2026
2 min read
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Copper Miners COPX Surged 4.29%

Friday saw hard-asset leadership. Copper Miners COPX led, and leadership concentrated in miners.

China-linked cyclicals led

Movers

Outperformers: Copper Miners COPX +4.29% (3M: +15.3%), China Large Cap FXI +2.36% (3M: +2.4%)

Underperformers: Communication Services XLC -1.51% (3M: -0.8%), Select Dividend DVY -0.69% (3M: -3.0%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Brazil EWZ +23.0%, Energy XLE +15.4%, Copper Miners COPX +15.3%

Weak: Utilities XLU -8.8%, Real Estate XLRE -6.1%, Industrials XLI -5.9%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 equity ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 9 Oct 2026; ending at COPX Copper Miners +15.3%, FXI China Large Cap +2.4%, XLC Communication Services -0.8%, DVY Select Dividend -3.0%

Counter-trend bounce in munis and EM debt

Movers

Outperformers: Muni Bonds MUB +0.34% (3M: -4.7%), EM Sovereign Bonds EMB +0.23% (3M: -3.1%)

Underperformers: TIPS TIP -0.10% (3M: -2.5%), Corporate Credit VCIT -0.09% (3M: -2.5%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Short Corporate VCSH -0.3%, Short TIPS VTIP -0.4%, Global Bonds BNDX -1.2%

Weak: Long Treasuries TLT -6.0%, Muni Bonds MUB -4.7%, 7-10yr Treasuries IEF -3.2%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 fixed income ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 9 Oct 2026; ending at VCIT Corporate Credit -2.5%, TIP TIPS -2.5%, EMB EM Sovereign Bonds -3.1%, MUB Muni Bonds -4.7%

Biotech and miners led, semis lagged

Movers

Outperformers: Biotechnology IBB +3.00% (3M: +8.9%), Gold Miners GDX +2.95% (3M: +21.7%)

Underperformers: Semiconductors SMH -0.65% (3M: +3.0%), Long/Short Equity FTLS +0.03% (3M: +4.4%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Ethereum Trust ETHA +39.6%, Bitcoin Trust IBIT +32.2%, Gold Miners GDX +21.7%

Weak: Clean Energy ICLN -7.2%, Global REITs REET -7.2%, Real Estate VNQ -6.5%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 specialty ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 9 Oct 2026; ending at GDX Gold Miners +21.7%, IBB Biotechnology +8.9%, FTLS Long/Short Equity +4.4%, SMH Semiconductors +3.0%

Technical Signals

AssetSetupInstrumentsRead
EquityExhaustion RiskBrazil EWZ3M leaders, flashing overbought
Volatility CompressionCopper Miners COPX, South Korea EWY, Consumer Staples XLP
OverboughtBrazil EWZ
Fixed IncomeCounter-trend RallyMuni Bonds MUBtop mover today +0.34%, 3M laggard -4.7%
Volatility ExpansionAggregate Bonds AGG, Global Bonds BNDX, EM Sovereign Bonds EMB
SpecialtyReversal SetupClean Energy ICLNvol compression building in 3M underperformers
Volatility CompressionGold Miners GDX, Gold GLD, Clean Energy ICLN
Volatility ExpansionManaged Futures DBMF, Biotechnology IBB

Exhaustion Risk: in our top three over three months, with its RSI above 70.
Counter-trend Rally: one of the day's two strongest, and in our bottom three over three months.
Reversal Setup: in our bottom three over three months, with volatility more than 1 standard deviation below its own norm.

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Romain Gandon
CEO, Quantlake

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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