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October 7, 2026
2 min read
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Ethereum Trust ETHA Sank 4.58%

Wednesday saw defensive rotation. Ethereum Trust ETHA and cyclical equities weakened, and defensive assets led.

Defensives led, cyclicals lagged

Movers

Outperformers: Healthcare XLV +1.03% (3M: +4.5%), Value Factor VLUE +0.44% (3M: +3.6%)

Underperformers: Copper Miners COPX -3.13% (3M: +10.8%), Industrials XLI -2.18% (3M: -7.1%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Brazil EWZ +21.2%, Energy XLE +16.3%, Copper Miners COPX +10.8%

Weak: Utilities XLU -8.1%, Real Estate XLRE -7.5%, S&P SmallCap Growth SLYG -7.3%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 equity ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 7 Oct 2026; ending at COPX Copper Miners +10.8%, XLV Healthcare +4.5%, VLUE Value Factor +3.6%, XLI Industrials -7.1%

Short-duration held up, income sectors lagged

Movers

Outperformers: Short TIPS VTIP +0.08% (3M: -0.5%), Short Corporate VCSH +0.08% (3M: -0.7%)

Underperformers: Preferred Stock PFF -0.51% (3M: -2.4%), Muni Bonds MUB -0.49% (3M: -5.2%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Short TIPS VTIP -0.5%, Short Corporate VCSH -0.7%, High Yield Bonds JNK -1.7%

Weak: Long Treasuries TLT -7.6%, Muni Bonds MUB -5.2%, EM Sovereign Bonds EMB -4.1%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 fixed income ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 7 Oct 2026; ending at VTIP Short TIPS -0.5%, VCSH Short Corporate -0.7%, PFF Preferred Stock -2.4%, MUB Muni Bonds -5.2%

Digital assets and miners lagged

Movers

Outperformers: Biotechnology IBB +0.12% (3M: +3.0%), Managed Futures DBMF +0.09% (3M: +8.0%)

Underperformers: Ethereum Trust ETHA -4.58% (3M: +46.8%), Gold Miners GDX -3.13% (3M: +12.8%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Ethereum Trust ETHA +46.8%, Bitcoin Trust IBIT +31.8%, Gold Miners GDX +12.8%

Weak: Clean Energy ICLN -10.5%, Real Estate VNQ -7.9%, Global REITs REET -7.7%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 specialty ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 7 Oct 2026; ending at ETHA Ethereum Trust +46.8%, GDX Gold Miners +12.8%, DBMF Managed Futures +8.0%, IBB Biotechnology +3.0%

Technical Signals

AssetSetupInstrumentsRead
EquityTrend-break RiskCopper Miners COPXtop decliner today -3.13%, 3M leader +10.8%
Exhaustion RiskBrazil EWZ3M leaders, flashing overbought
Volatility CompressionGlobal Min Vol ACWV, Copper Miners COPX, Emg. Markets EEM
OverboughtBrazil EWZ, US Technology IYW
OversoldIntl High Dividend IDV, Real Estate XLRE
Fixed IncomeVolatility ExpansionAggregate Bonds AGG, Global Bonds BNDX, EM Sovereign Bonds EMB
OversoldLong Treasuries TLT
SpecialtyTrend-break RiskEthereum Trust ETHA and Gold Miners GDXtoday's laggards, 3M leaders
Reversal SetupClean Energy ICLNvol compression building in 3M underperformers
Volatility CompressionGold Miners GDX, Clean Energy ICLN, Covered Calls Nasdaq JEPQ
Volatility ExpansionManaged Futures DBMF
OverboughtCovered Calls Nasdaq JEPQ
OversoldGlobal REITs REET, Real Estate VNQ

Trend-break Risk: one of the day's two weakest, and in our top three over three months.
Exhaustion Risk: in our top three over three months, with its RSI above 70.
Reversal Setup: in our bottom three over three months, with volatility more than 1 standard deviation below its own norm.

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Romain Gandon
CEO, Quantlake

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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