October 26, 2026
2 min read
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Brazil EWZ Sank 19.82%

Monday delivered EM weakness. Brazil EWZ set the tone.

Growth and cyclicals led, Brazil weakness deepened

Movers

Leaders: Technology XLK +1.69% (3M: +9.0%), Industrials XLI +1.42% (3M: -8.3%)

Laggards: Brazil EWZ -19.82% (3M: -5.3%), Communication Services XLC -1.57% (3M: -5.0%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Energy XLE +21.7%, Taiwan EWT +12.4%, Technology XLK +9.0%

Weak: China MCHI -9.7%, China Large Cap FXI -8.8%, Industrials XLI -8.3%

DAILY · 3M
Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 equity ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 26 Oct 2026; ending at XLK Technology +9.0%, XLC Communication Services -5.0%, EWZ Brazil -5.3%, XLI Industrials -8.3%

High-quality bonds led, credit-sensitive income lagged

Movers

Leaders: Long Treasuries TLT +0.42% (3M: -1.9%), Muni Bonds MUB +0.38% (3M: -1.2%)

Laggards: Preferred Stock PFF -0.17% (3M: -4.0%), EM Sovereign Bonds EMB -0.16% (3M: -2.6%)

3M Leaderboard (within FI scale)

Strong: Short TIPS VTIP +0.3%, Short Corporate VCSH -0.1%, TIPS TIP -0.5%

Weak: Preferred Stock PFF -4.0%, EM Sovereign Bonds EMB -2.6%, Long Treasuries TLT -1.9%

DAILY · 3M
Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 fixed income ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 26 Oct 2026; ending at MUB Muni Bonds -1.2%, TLT Long Treasuries -1.9%, EMB EM Sovereign Bonds -2.6%, PFF Preferred Stock -4.0%

Momentum names led, crypto and clean energy lagged

Movers

Leaders: Semiconductors SMH +2.74% (3M: +2.3%), Momentum Factor MTUM +1.77% (3M: +1.0%)

Laggards: Ethereum Trust ETHA -3.22% (3M: +20.4%), Clean Energy ICLN -2.93% (3M: -9.6%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Bitcoin Trust IBIT +25.1%, Ethereum Trust ETHA +20.4%, Biotechnology IBB +9.5%

Weak: Clean Energy ICLN -9.6%, Infrastructure PAVE -8.7%, Global REITs REET -8.3%

DAILY · 3M
Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 specialty ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 26 Oct 2026; ending at ETHA Ethereum Trust +20.4%, SMH Semiconductors +2.3%, MTUM Momentum Factor +1.0%, ICLN Clean Energy -9.6%

Technical Signals

AssetSetupInstrumentsRead
EquityCounter-trend RallyIndustrials XLI2nd-strongest today +1.42%, 3M laggard -8.3%
Exhaustion RiskEnergy XLE3M leaders, flashing overbought
Washout RiskChina MCHI3M laggards, flashing oversold
Outsized DropBrazil EWZ-19.82%, 6.4x its vol
Volatility ExpansionBrazil EWZ
OverboughtDividend Quality SCHD, Energy XLE
OversoldCopper Miners COPX, Brazil EWZ, China MCHI
Fixed IncomeCounter-trend RallyLong Treasuries TLTtop mover today +0.42%, 3M laggard -1.9%
SpecialtyTrend-break RiskEthereum Trust ETHAtop decliner today -3.22%, 3M leader +20.4%
Washout RiskClean Energy ICLN3M laggards, flashing oversold
Volatility CompressionGold Miners GDX, Gold GLD
OverboughtMin Volatility USMV
OversoldClean Energy ICLN

Counter-trend Rally: one of the day's two strongest, and in our bottom three over three months.
Exhaustion Risk: in our top three over three months, with its RSI(14) above 70.
Washout Risk: in our bottom three over three months, with its RSI(14) below 30.
Outsized Drop: a drop more than 2.5 times its 20-day volatility.
Volatility Expansion: highest volatility in three months, more than 2.5 standard deviations above its 3-month average.
Overbought: RSI(14) above 70.
Oversold: RSI(14) below 30.
Trend-break Risk: one of the day's two weakest, and in our top three over three months.
Volatility Compression: lowest volatility in three months, more than 2 standard deviations below its 3-month average.

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Romain Gandon
CEO, Quantlake

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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