October 29, 2026
2 min read

Gold Miners GDX Tumbled 3.12%

Thursday brought defensive rotation. Healthcare and real estate led, and leadership concentrated in long Treasuries and defensive equities.

Defensives led, Korea and Taiwan lagged

Movers

Leaders: Healthcare XLV +2.40% (3M: +13.7%), Real Estate XLRE +2.21% (3M: -3.7%)

Laggards: Taiwan EWT -2.71% (3M: +9.8%), South Korea EWY -2.46% (3M: +3.0%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Energy XLE +16.1%, Healthcare XLV +13.7%, Taiwan EWT +9.8%

Weak: China MCHI -12.3%, China Large Cap FXI -10.4%, Brazil EWZ -9.6%

DAILY · 3M
Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 equity ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 29 Oct 2026; ending at XLV Healthcare +13.7%, EWT Taiwan +9.8%, EWY South Korea +3.0%, XLRE Real Estate -3.7%

Defensive bonds led, credit lagged

Movers

Leaders: Long Treasuries TLT +0.62% (3M: +0.3%), EM Sovereign Bonds EMB +0.50% (3M: -1.2%)

Laggards: Preferred Stock PFF -0.21% (3M: -4.4%), High Yield Bonds JNK -0.02% (3M: -0.9%)

3M Leaderboard (within FI scale)

Strong: Short TIPS VTIP +0.3%, Long Treasuries TLT +0.3%, Short Corporate VCSH +0.1%

Weak: Preferred Stock PFF -4.4%, EM Sovereign Bonds EMB -1.2%, High Yield Bonds JNK -0.9%

DAILY · 3M
Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 fixed income ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 29 Oct 2026; ending at TLT Long Treasuries +0.3%, JNK High Yield Bonds -0.9%, EMB EM Sovereign Bonds -1.2%, PFF Preferred Stock -4.4%

Real-asset proxies led, miners and momentum lagged

Movers

Leaders: Real Estate VNQ +2.27% (3M: -4.3%), Infrastructure PAVE +2.16% (3M: -3.3%)

Laggards: Gold Miners GDX -3.12% (3M: +9.8%), Momentum Factor MTUM -1.70% (3M: -0.2%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Bitcoin Trust IBIT +28.3%, Ethereum Trust ETHA +25.0%, Biotechnology IBB +16.9%

Weak: Clean Energy ICLN -10.6%, Global REITs REET -6.1%, Real Estate VNQ -4.3%

DAILY · 3M
Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 specialty ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 29 Oct 2026; ending at GDX Gold Miners +9.8%, MTUM Momentum Factor -0.2%, PAVE Infrastructure -3.3%, VNQ Real Estate -4.3%

Technical Signals

AssetSetupInstrumentsRead
EquityTrend-break RiskTaiwan EWTtop decliner today -2.71%, 3M leader +9.8%
Washout RiskChina MCHI and Brazil EWZ3M laggards, flashing oversold
Outsized GainDividend Growth VIG+1.30%, 2.6x its vol
Volatility CompressionMaterials XLB
OverboughtDividend Quality SCHD, Dividend Aristocrats SDY, S&P Value SPYV
OversoldBrazil EWZ, China MCHI, Communication Services XLC
Fixed IncomeCounter-trend RallyEM Sovereign Bonds EMB2nd-strongest today +0.50%, 3M laggard -1.2%
Exhaustion RiskShort TIPS VTIP3M leaders, flashing overbought
OverboughtShort TIPS VTIP
SpecialtyCounter-trend RallyReal Estate VNQtop mover today +2.27%, 3M laggard -4.3%

Trend-break Risk: one of the day's two weakest, and in our top three over three months.
Washout Risk: in our bottom three over three months, with its RSI(14) below 30.
Outsized Gain: a gain more than 2.5 times its 20-day volatility.
Volatility Compression: lowest volatility in three months, more than 2 standard deviations below its 3-month average.
Overbought: RSI(14) above 70.
Oversold: RSI(14) below 30.
Counter-trend Rally: one of the day's two strongest, and in our bottom three over three months.
Exhaustion Risk: in our top three over three months, with its RSI(14) above 70.

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Romain Gandon
CEO, Quantlake

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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