November 4, 2026
3 min read

Gold Miners GDX Surged 9.01%

Wednesday brought hard-asset leadership. Gold Miners GDX led.

China and consumer cyclicals led, energy lagged

Movers

Outperformers: China MCHI +4.37% (3M: -7.8%), Consumer Discretionary XLY +4.26% (3M: +3.8%)

Underperformers: Energy XLE -4.74% (3M: +9.9%), South Korea EWY -1.90% (3M: -7.3%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Healthcare XLV +15.8%, Energy XLE +9.9%, Consumer Staples XLP +8.7%

Weak: Copper Miners COPX -13.4%, Brazil EWZ -9.9%, Industrials XLI -8.0%

DAILY · 3M
Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 equity ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 4 Nov 2026; ending at XLE Energy +9.9%, XLY Consumer Discretionary +3.8%, EWY South Korea -7.3%, MCHI China -7.8%

Income credit led, inflation-linked bonds lagged

Movers

Outperformers: Preferred Stock PFF +1.56% (3M: -4.3%), EM Sovereign Bonds EMB +1.01% (3M: -1.3%)

Underperformers: Short TIPS VTIP -0.18% (3M: unch.), TIPS TIP unch. (3M: -0.6%)

3M Leaderboard (within FI scale)

Strong: Long Treasuries TLT +0.3%, Short Corporate VCSH +0.2%, Short TIPS VTIP unch.

Weak: Preferred Stock PFF -4.3%, EM Sovereign Bonds EMB -1.3%, High Yield Bonds JNK -1.0%

DAILY · 3M
Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 fixed income ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 4 Nov 2026; ending at VTIP Short TIPS +0.0%, TIP TIPS -0.6%, EMB EM Sovereign Bonds -1.3%, PFF Preferred Stock -4.3%

Crypto and miners rallied, semis lagged

Movers

Outperformers: Gold Miners GDX +9.01% (3M: +0.8%), Ethereum Trust ETHA +5.72% (3M: +26.7%)

Underperformers: Semiconductors SMH -2.75% (3M: -11.8%), Managed Futures DBMF -2.27% (3M: +2.2%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Ethereum Trust ETHA +26.7%, Bitcoin Trust IBIT +24.2%, Biotechnology IBB +14.6%

Weak: Semiconductors SMH -11.8%, Momentum Factor MTUM -11.3%, Clean Energy ICLN -8.4%

DAILY · 3M
Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 specialty ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 4 Nov 2026; ending at ETHA Ethereum Trust +26.7%, DBMF Managed Futures +2.2%, GDX Gold Miners +0.8%, SMH Semiconductors -11.8%

Technical Signals

AssetSetupInstrumentsRead
EquityTrend-break RiskEnergy XLEtop decliner today -4.74%, 3M leader +9.9%
Washout RiskBrazil EWZ3M laggards, flashing oversold
Outsized GainChina Large Cap FXI and China MCHI and United Kingdom EWUFXI +4.22%, 4.5x its vol, MCHI +4.37%, 4.5x its vol, EWU +3.45%, 4.3x its vol
Outsized DropEnergy XLE-4.74%, 3.1x its vol
Volatility ExpansionChina MCHI
OverboughtGlobal Min Vol ACWV, India INDA, Covered Calls S&P JEPI
OversoldTaiwan EWT, Brazil EWZ
Fixed IncomeCounter-trend RallyPreferred Stock PFF and EM Sovereign Bonds EMBtoday's leaders, 3M laggards
Trend-break RiskShort TIPS VTIPtop decliner today -0.18%, 3M leader unch.
Exhaustion RiskShort Corporate VCSH3M leaders, flashing overbought
Outsized GainPreferred Stock PFF and EM Sovereign Bonds EMBPFF +1.56%, 2.8x its vol, EMB +1.01%, 2.5x its vol
OverboughtGlobal Bonds BNDX, Muni Bonds MUB, Short Corporate VCSH
SpecialtyOutsized GainMin Volatility USMV and Gold Miners GDX and Global REITs REETUSMV +1.73%, 3.8x its vol, GDX +9.01%, 3.6x its vol, REET +2.66%, 3.5x its vol
OverboughtGlobal REITs REET, Min Volatility USMV, Real Estate VNQ

Trend-break Risk: one of the day's two weakest, and in our top three over three months.
Washout Risk: in our bottom three over three months, with its RSI(14) below 30.
Outsized Gain: a gain more than 2.5 times its 20-day volatility.
Outsized Drop: a drop more than 2.5 times its 20-day volatility.
Volatility Expansion: highest volatility in three months, more than 2.5 standard deviations above its 3-month average.
Overbought: RSI(14) above 70.
Oversold: RSI(14) below 30.
Counter-trend Rally: one of the day's two strongest, and in our bottom three over three months.
Exhaustion Risk: in our top three over three months, with its RSI(14) above 70.

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Romain Gandon
CEO, Quantlake

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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