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October 22, 2026
2 min read
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Copper Miners COPX Tumbled 6.27%

Thursday marked a defensive rotation. Long Treasuries and defensive equity factors led.

Defensives led, global cyclicals lagged

Movers

Leaders: Consumer Staples XLP +3.31% (3M: +7.7%), Dividend Aristocrats SDY +2.53% (3M: +3.3%)

Laggards: Copper Miners COPX -6.27% (3M: -5.9%), South Korea EWY -4.98% (3M: -8.5%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Brazil EWZ +17.1%, Energy XLE +14.0%, Healthcare XLV +11.9%

Weak: South Korea EWY -8.5%, Industrials XLI -8.5%, China MCHI -8.1%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 equity ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 22 Oct 2026; ending at XLP Consumer Staples +7.7%, SDY Dividend Aristocrats +3.3%, COPX Copper Miners -5.9%, EWY South Korea -8.5%

Duration rallied, preferreds lagged

Movers

Leaders: Long Treasuries TLT +1.87% (3M: -0.6%), 7-10yr Treasuries IEF +1.08% (3M: -0.9%)

Laggards: Preferred Stock PFF -0.03% (3M: -3.0%), High Yield Bonds JNK +0.13% (3M: -1.4%)

3M Leaderboard (within FI scale)

Strong: Short TIPS VTIP +0.3%, Short Corporate VCSH +0.2%, Aggregate Bonds AGG -0.3%

Weak: Preferred Stock PFF -3.0%, EM Sovereign Bonds EMB -1.6%, Muni Bonds MUB -1.4%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 fixed income ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 22 Oct 2026; ending at TLT Long Treasuries -0.6%, IEF 7-10yr Treasuries -0.9%, JNK High Yield Bonds -1.4%, PFF Preferred Stock -3.0%

Defensives led, high-beta names lagged

Movers

Leaders: Real Estate VNQ +1.27% (3M: -7.3%), Min Volatility USMV +1.07% (3M: +7.1%)

Laggards: Semiconductors SMH -5.99% (3M: -6.7%), Gold Miners GDX -5.80% (3M: +8.6%)

3M Leaderboard

Strong: Ethereum Trust ETHA +27.9%, Bitcoin Trust IBIT +26.7%, Biotechnology IBB +11.4%

Weak: Infrastructure PAVE -9.7%, Clean Energy ICLN -9.1%, Global REITs REET -8.6%

Line chart: 3-month performance of 4 specialty ETFs, the day's leaders and laggards, to 22 Oct 2026; ending at GDX Gold Miners +8.6%, USMV Min Volatility +7.1%, SMH Semiconductors -6.7%, VNQ Real Estate -7.3%

Technical Signals

AssetSetupInstrumentsRead
EquityWashout RiskChina MCHI3M laggards, flashing oversold
Outsized GainDividend Aristocrats SDY and Consumer Staples XLP and Dividend Quality SCHDSDY +2.53%, 3.9x its vol, XLP +3.31%, 3.4x its vol, SCHD +2.14%, 3.3x its vol
Outsized DropCopper Miners COPX and S&P Growth SPYG and Taiwan EWTCOPX -6.27%, 2.9x its vol, SPYG -2.69%, 2.8x its vol, EWT -4.59%, 2.8x its vol
OverboughtGlobal Min Vol ACWV, Intl Min Vol EFAV, Dividend Quality SCHD
OversoldCopper Miners COPX, China MCHI, Emerging Markets VWO
Fixed IncomeOutsized GainShort TIPS VTIP+0.33%, 2.6x its vol
SpecialtyOutsized DropCovered Calls Nasdaq JEPQ and Long/Short Equity FTLS and Semiconductors SMHJEPQ -2.55%, 3.5x its vol, FTLS -1.48%, 3.1x its vol, SMH -5.99%, 2.8x its vol
OverboughtMin Volatility USMV

Washout Risk: in our bottom three over three months, with its RSI(14) below 30.
Outsized Gain: a gain more than 2.5 times its 20-day volatility.
Outsized Drop: a drop more than 2.5 times its 20-day volatility.
Overbought: RSI(14) above 70.
Oversold: RSI(14) below 30.

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Romain Gandon
CEO, Quantlake

Disclaimer: This article is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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